Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.703021 0.821493 0.951663 1.105000 1.280379 1.474389 1.704937
2024-12-22 0.485244 0.635332 0.817343 1.053006 1.348608 1.705543 2.167428
2024-12-29 0.370429 0.539145 0.763182 1.079106 1.509149 2.069550 2.849634
2025-01-05 0.287113 0.461643 0.713824 1.098324 1.661685 2.447090 3.612357
2025-01-12 0.229181 0.404431 0.678207 1.126396 1.827851 2.865911 4.494206
2025-01-19 0.187800 0.361515 0.653208 1.162720 2.008900 3.329303 5.504341
2025-01-26 0.154030 0.322142 0.624340 1.185089 2.168637 3.779241 6.551945
2025-02-02 0.138273 0.311115 0.640874 1.285535 2.470216 4.490903 8.100564
2025-02-09 0.116960 0.283445 0.620694 1.315167 2.651400 5.023185 9.414635
2025-02-16 0.095552 0.249604 0.580963 1.299347 2.745276 5.413035 10.526262
2025-02-23 0.074774 0.211105 0.522961 1.235310 2.735461 5.611999 11.317120
2025-03-02 0.062487 0.189333 0.496041 1.230036 2.838816 6.029591 12.549092
2025-03-09 0.050186 0.164525 0.458453 1.198606 2.892650 6.376650 13.725029
2025-03-16 0.038385 0.137068 0.407997 1.128146 2.853163 6.537624 14.568740
2025-03-23 0.032678 0.125649 0.395687 1.147135 3.017241 7.139454 16.372822
2025-03-30 0.027769 0.114966 0.382743 1.162126 3.175116 7.749218 18.265988
2025-04-06 0.024006 0.106733 0.374676 1.188420 3.364723 8.452142 20.436195
2025-04-13 0.021070 0.100338 0.370469 1.224548 3.584752 9.250021 22.899198
2025-04-20 0.018241 0.093172 0.361969 1.246774 3.772773 9.996614 25.327301
2025-04-27 0.017414 0.093993 0.379952 1.351140 4.194168 11.340964 29.245266
2025-05-04 0.015299 0.088265 0.374119 1.381657 4.419672 12.238446 32.217342
2025-05-11 0.012780 0.079405 0.354610 1.364830 4.510488 12.814830 34.490848
2025-05-18 0.010064 0.068022 0.322071 1.297708 4.445391 12.990039 35.817289